Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 2.746505e-05 3.280091e-05 0.000039 0.000045 0.000053 0.000061 0.000070
2025-05-04 2.077647e-05 2.774957e-05 0.000036 0.000046 0.000058 0.000071 0.000088
2025-05-11 1.743345e-05 2.558773e-05 0.000036 0.000049 0.000065 0.000084 0.000109
2025-05-18 1.417204e-05 2.280249e-05 0.000034 0.000050 0.000069 0.000094 0.000125
2025-05-25 1.048209e-05 1.871154e-05 0.000030 0.000047 0.000069 0.000097 0.000134
2025-06-01 8.029091e-06 1.587269e-05 0.000028 0.000045 0.000069 0.000101 0.000143
2025-06-08 6.468231e-06 1.407415e-05 0.000026 0.000045 0.000071 0.000107 0.000155
2025-06-15 5.180514e-06 1.245049e-05 0.000025 0.000044 0.000073 0.000112 0.000167
2025-06-22 3.970027e-06 1.068379e-05 0.000023 0.000042 0.000073 0.000115 0.000175
2025-06-29 2.908002e-06 8.918893e-06 0.000020 0.000040 0.000072 0.000116 0.000180
2025-07-06 2.042793e-06 7.290325e-06 0.000018 0.000038 0.000070 0.000116 0.000184
2025-07-13 1.552181e-06 6.352852e-06 0.000017 0.000037 0.000070 0.000119 0.000193
2025-07-20 1.130877e-06 5.527266e-06 0.000016 0.000037 0.000072 0.000126 0.000208
2025-07-27 8.338533e-07 4.904617e-06 0.000015 0.000037 0.000076 0.000134 0.000225
2025-08-03 7.118731e-07 4.786712e-06 0.000016 0.000040 0.000082 0.000148 0.000251
2025-08-10 5.239703e-07 4.303530e-06 0.000015 0.000040 0.000086 0.000158 0.000271
2025-08-17 2.825284e-07 3.326726e-06 0.000013 0.000038 0.000084 0.000158 0.000278
2025-08-24 1.532493e-07 2.669396e-06 0.000012 0.000036 0.000083 0.000161 0.000288
2025-08-31 8.899911e-08 2.275136e-06 0.000011 0.000036 0.000085 0.000168 0.000303
2025-09-07 4.642063e-08 1.912722e-06 0.000011 0.000035 0.000086 0.000173 0.000318
2025-09-14 1.768536e-08 1.512594e-06 0.000010 0.000034 0.000086 0.000176 0.000328
2025-09-21 3.880875e-09 1.127095e-06 0.000009 0.000032 0.000084 0.000177 0.000334
2025-09-28 2.109623e-10 7.964389e-07 0.000007 0.000030 0.000082 0.000176 0.000338